As part of the upcoming Fall meeting of the American Geophysical Meeting, I'll be co-organizing a session on long-term trends in flood frequency and magnitude.
The AGU Fall Meeting will be held in San Francisco, California during the week of December 12-16, 2016. Abstracts can be submitted to this session by following the link at https://agu.confex.com/agu/fm16/preliminaryview.cgi/Session12683.
H092: Shifting Rivers: Trends in Flood Magnitude and Frequency
Session Description:
Riverine floods are among the costliest type of natural hazard, and regularly cause loss of life, damage infrastructure, and disrupt transportation and trade. Although the enhanced greenhouse effect is likely responsible for the recent observed intensification of the land-based hydrological cycle, the Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change’s Fifth Assessment Report noted a lack of evidence and thus low confidence regarding the sign of trend in flood frequency and magnitude. This session aims to bring together hydrologists, climatologists, geologists, and paleoclimatologists that evaluate long-term (decadal and longer) changes in flooding at watershed, regional, or global scales. We welcome contributions that identify the trends and drivers of past flooding using modeling, instrumental data and/or proxy-based paleoflood reconstructions, as well as those examining how flood frequency and magnitude may change in the future. The session is co-sponsored by the PAGES Floods Working Group (http://www.pages-igbp.org/ini/wg/floods/intro).
Primary Convener:
Scott St George, University of Minnesota Twin Cities, Minneapolis, MN, United States
Conveners:
Stacey A Archfield, USGS Office of Groundwater, Reston, VA, United States and Samuel E. Munoz, University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, WI, United States
Confirmed Invited Speakers:
Victor Baker, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States
Anna Sikorsky, University of Zurich, Department of Geography, Zurich, Switzerland,
